Havelock Hillside (Aug 2022 Build-To-Order)

disclaimer: ​​
1. Readers are advised to use information available here as study guide only and use it at your own risk. 
2. Please note that changes/ update based on updated information will be made from time to time, readers are advised to check on this page regularly.
3. Analysis was done based on available data at the time of this review being published.
4. This analysis is mainly curated for pre-selection. Details varies among developments, therefore, please read through our analysis in full before making comparison between developments.

Havelock Hillside is the 3rd PLH development to be developed within Bukit Merah planning area apart from Alexandra Vale and Bukit Merah Ridge. This development won’t be the last BTO/PLH within the Bukit Merah planning area as few more plots of land have been slated for launch by 2029. 1 being the 3.7ha site bounded by Alexandra Road, Prince Charles Crescent and Alexandra Canal, which has been planned for 1,500 units of housing as announced by HDB back in 15 Dec 2021. While the other sites are along Redhill Close which have been vacant since the previous homeowners relocated to City Vue @ Henderson under the SERs program.

Important considerations before choosing a unit at this site

1. Located within 200m away from the new Havelock MRT station (part of the new Thomson -East Coast line) is a plus point when it comes to travelling and connectivity convenience. Will it greatly affect your future price upside? Based on LTA Transport Master Plan 2040, the main target is the 20-minute towns and a 45-minute city design. With the recent reemphasizing of ‘15-minute city’ throughout the world, it seems like by 2040, when LTA achieve its target, the premium of proximity to an MRT node may not be so obvious anymore.
 
Further reading:
https://www.ura.gov.sg/Corporate/Resources/Ideas-and-Trends/Understanding-Urban-Activity-and-Mobility-Patterns
https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/public-sector/articles/urban-future-with-a-purpose/15-minute-city.html
https://www.lta.gov.sg/content/dam/ltagov/who_we_are/our_work/land_transport_master_plan_2040/pdf/LTA%20LTMP%202040%20eReport.pd

​2. Potential future surrounding redevelopment. The potential future surrounding redevelopment refer to the potential SERs program which may happen to most of the surrounding developments with remaining lease lesser than 50 years. Should SERs happen, these lands will be redeveloped and the future development (of course with higher plot ratio and directly contribute to higher building heights compare to current) will potentially reduce your view potentials.
 
i. The above will lead to a careful consideration of your investment timeline (from construction till MOP) compare to the SERs potential redevelopment timeline.
 
ii. If you are buying for long term stay, how will the future potential surrounding developments will affect your property attributes? Example, the sun exposure, prevailing wind exposure, viewing angle, building distance, etc.
 
The above are the probabilities which we have simulated for Bukit Merah Ridge future residents who have engaged us to better understand their future home and hedge their future risk.

more to come...

​Why avoiding avoiding west sun is crucial?

Heat (via direct sunlight) transfer via conduction, convection and radiation. Apart from windows, our parameter walls (mainly made of concrete and steel) are the largest external components which via conduction, convection and radiation will transfer heat into our home. While we can’t absolutely prevent all the above from happening, we can reduce the impact by choosing the unit with the least direct impact from any of the above.    
(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YK7G6l_K6sA)

Increased exposure to heat (via direct sunlight) will directly cause the following:
​
Material loss
1. higher electricity consumption
Units with higher internal temperature will need more active cooling (air-con), therefore, higher electricity consumption. If we take a HDB 5R as a sample and January 2020 usage as a baseline (351kWh), the total monthly differences (the rest of the year 2020) compared to January 2020 added up to 847kWh! Current SP Service going rate is at S$0.24/kWh and that’s S$203.28 in a year! A 4R extra usage added up to 670kWh, which is additional S$160.80.
(https://www.ema.gov.sg/singapore-energy-statistics/Ch03/index3)
(https://www.spgroup.com.sg/sp-services/understanding-the-tariff)​​

2. materials wear and tear via direct and indirect heat transfer
Most will spend at least S$20,000 and above for interior renovation and fittings. Wear and tear will increase with heat, be it discoloration, material become fragile, etc. even before its warranty ended.   ​

Personal wellbeing
3. heat related illness-heat exhaustion
(https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/heat-exhaustion/symptoms-causes/syc-20373250)
(https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/common-cold/in-depth/humidifiers/art-20048021)
(https://data.gov.sg/dataset/relative-humidity-monthly-mean)
 
“Heat exhaustion is a condition whose symptoms may include heavy sweating and a rapid pulse, a result of your body overheating. It's one of three heat-related syndromes, with heat cramps being the mildest and heatstroke being the most severe.
 
Causes of heat exhaustion include exposure to high temperatures, particularly when combined with high humidity, and strenuous physical activity. Without prompt treatment, heat exhaustion can lead to heatstroke, a life-threatening condition. Fortunately, heat exhaustion is preventable.” - Mayo Clinic
 
(Notes: In Singapore, relative humidity is hovering above 72% since 1982, way above the comfort level of 30%-50%.) 

"High humidity can make your home feel stuffy and can cause condensation on walls, floors and other surfaces. Condensation can trigger the growth of harmful bacteria, dust mites and molds. These allergens can cause respiratory problems and trigger allergy and asthma flare-ups."- Mayo Clinic

The heat index, also known as the apparent temperature, is what the temperature feels like to the human body when relative humidity is combined with the air temperature. This has important considerations for the human body's comfort.

Climate change
4. high cooling activities (using air-con) lead to higher electricity consumption, which led to high carbon footprint and directly contribute to higher local temperature.
 
“The irony is the electricity for the air conditioning cooling me down as I recover is our second largest source of carbon emissions.
 
If the very act of powering our lives comes at the price of accelerating global warming, how are we going to get out of this carbon conundrum?”
​Dr. Janil Puthucheary, Senior Minister of State of the Ministry of Health of Singapore

5. Inherent issue of using concrete as building materials (nett CO2 emission) vs. timber (store and emit CO2). While most of the advance economy has started to move into timber construction, Singapore is still very much dependent on concrete as the main construction material due to limited know how and reluctant to innovate. As long as we are still using concrete, the urban heat island effect will keep on increasing.  ​

When we receive our balloting results for our 2nd BTO, we wanted to pick the best home we can get base on our perception, logic and limited knowledge.

Was recommended by my friend to Soon Ching to look deeper into factual data before committing to choose our next home.

At first we were skeptical as to what additional data hausanalyst can provide and we were very much surprised.

Soon Ching gave us a free insight to what we will be expecting when we engage him. Sound, wind and sun detailed analysis report coupled with visual CGI modelled to the exact dimensions of the flat. 

He was also able to show us the individual unit and stack view inside and out as well, not forgetting the sun animation throughout the months and down to the time each day !!

Oh yes the current and projected view as well ! URA considerations all included and explained.

Overall we were very impress with his work and it helped us greatly to understanding each stacks and blocks in the project, aiding us to narrow down to the individual level of unit of our choice 😃

All in all, Soon Ching charges is reasonable, services provided was prompt and responsive , very detailed and professional !!

A big thanks to you Soon Ching !!

​​Mr Daniel K | Public Service | Bukit Merah Ridge 4-rm 2022   ​

​Why understanding the prevailing wind is important?

​1. assist in cooling (heat mitigation)
A good prevailing wind exposure will help to mitigate heat impact, with condition, it faces the wider surface of the unit.
​
2. assist in ventilation (removing stagnant air, virus, bacteria)
(https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-sick/Improving-Ventilation-Home.html)
No cross ventilation leads to stagnant air. Stagnant air leads to more viruses and bacteria trap in the same locality. When Covid19 hits, cross ventilation suddenly became all important to rid the interior spaces of the virus. 

3. assisting in pollutants movement (dust from construction, place of worship)
Knowing your present and future surrounding may not be enough to prevent future discomfort if you don’t understand the direction of the prevailing wind and the season it happens.

4. high intensity wind load (high building)
Higher building within less denser surrounding will have to live with higher intensity of direct wind load. We welcome a good wind flow, but excessive wind flow will create havoc more than comfort.

5. splashing during rainy days
a. While everyone loves privacy by aiming for end lot/ units, the inherent issue is actually the exposure to water splashing (during rainy days with wind assistance) into the corridor which threaten to back flow into the immediate unit if the drainage system fails.

b. "The HDB said it received feedback about water seeping into flats from the owners of 24 units at Waterway Terraces I. Said a spokesman: "Most of these units face an open field, making them more prone to impact by heavy downpours." - The Straits Times July 15, 2015
(Notes: based on NEA recorded data for 14 July 2015, prevailing wind was coming from SSW, this is consistent with the reported case of units facing the open field which is facing SSW.) ​

Why viewing angle is important?

​1. actual view not being represented in scaled model
Gone were the days when homeowners get to choose from a completed housing development. With scaled models (usually 300 times smaller than the actual built product), homeowners can hardly visualise their immediate surroundings, let alone knowing their exact view from every window.  

2. visual coverage
The visual field of the human eye spans approximately 120 degrees of arc.  However, most of that arc is peripheral vision. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vision_span) Knowing what you are capable of and allowing for a situation to maximize your capability is better than not having the option to do so. In short, if you can see wider view and further away, why should you settle for anything less?

3. architecture feature (window frame, fin, etc.)
External walls with shade and fins or windows with transom and mullion are architectural features which may serve as sun shading devices or just purely aesthetic features. The thickness, depth and location of these features will affect your viewing quality. 

4. visual privacy

5. awareness of surrounding

Why noise is emerging as an important good housing indicator?

​1. personal wellbeing
(https://www.euro.who.int/en/health-topics/environment-and-health/noise/publications/2018/biological-mechanisms-related-to-cardiovascular-and-metabolic-effects-by-environmental-noise)
​
a. hearing loss
b. cardiovascular disease
c. stress and depression
d. insomnia
​ 
2. affecting daily routine (WFH)

Why building distance is critical in a selecting a good unit?

​1. claustrophobic (height vs distance)
 
2. provide shading from west sun

3. ventilation via prevailing wind movement
Better or wider building distance will allow for better prevailing wind movement.

4. privacy (in tandem to visual and noise)

5. living in 3D but planning in 2D
(https://www.ura.gov.sg/Corporate/Guidelines/Development-Control/Residential/Flats-Condominiums/Building-Length)
Current planning standards are more concern about the wall-like development (2D) rather than a more 3D approach of how to sparse the unit/ building away from each other and allow more breathing space.    

our score

ALEXANDRA VALE | CENTRAL WEAVE @ AMK | 
HAVELOCK HILLSIDE | JURONG EAST BREEZE |
​KEAT HONG GRANGE | SUN PLAZA SPRING |
​WOODLANDS SOUTH PLAINS

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